The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Paola Hibernians 26%
Draw 26.5%
Floriana 47.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
24.2%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
23.7%
53.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
Floriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paola Hibernians than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Floriana than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Floriana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Paola Hibernians - Floriana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
45. Cardinali M. (G) 47. El Fanis M. 23. Ellul M. 88. Khevin Fraga 11. Kristensen B. (C) 18. Matos 7. Mbong J. 15. N'Zi O. 28. Roe J. 3. Romling M. 5. Shaw K.
23. Cioletti G. (G) 3. Beerman M. 16. Chapi 6. Drina A. 22. Gudelj T. 8. Mbong P. 90. Odey S. 17. Spiteri O. 10. Varela F. 12. Vella D. (C) 21. Zammit Lonardelli C.
Substitutes
19. Abela L. 21. Agius 22. Bonnici D. 17. Chukunyere I. 10. Degabriele J. 77. Druga B. 6. Jankovic F. 9. Mickels J. 1. Sanchez P. (G) 8. Wahling J. 14. Xuereb D.
99. Attard D. 9. Dervisagic K. 4. Kauan 14. Kurtalic A. 13. Micallef A. (G) 11. Muric R. 27. Newell Z. 80. Picon P. (G) . Portelli Z. 5. Rodgers G. 86. Shchepetkin N.
Coaches
Tanrivermis T.
Portela D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Matos ↓, Degabriele J. ↑,
36', 0 - 1, Varela F. ⚽,
45', 0 - 2, Mbong P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', Romling M. 🟨,
60', Ellul M. ↓, Wahling J. ↑,
60', Roe J. ↓, Xuereb D. ↑,
65', Gudelj T. ↓, Dervisagic K. ↑,
69', 0 - 3, Odey S. ⚽,
72', Romling M. ↓, Bonnici D. ↑,
72', Khevin Fraga ↓, Jankovic F. ↑,
84', Mbong P. ↓, Kurtalic A. ↑,
84', Zammit Lonardelli C. ↓, Muric R. ↑,
84', Vella D. ↓, Shchepetkin N. ↑,
88', Varela F. ↓, Kauan ↑,
90', 0 - 4, Muric R. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 9th in the Premier League (First stage ~ Play Out: ) and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Premier League (First stage ~ Top 6: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernians won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Hibernians could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Floriana has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Floriana for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hibernians has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hibernians against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 0.8:0.8 per game).