Match Info

Premier League - First stage - Main - Round 2

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Marsaxlokk		Paola Hibernians

	1	X	2
	2.20	3.20	2.80
	2.18	3.05	2.95
	2.36	3.39	2.77
	2.45	3.48	2.55	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.7
	2.5	3.45	2.56
	2.34	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.07)	3.3 ↓ (3.4)	2.7 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsaxlokk
39%

Draw
27.5%

Paola Hibernians
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsaxlokk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marsaxlokk's form might have worsened.

Paola Hibernians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paola Hibernians's recent form is better than expected.

Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mafoumbi C. (G) 27. Aguirre L. 8. Arias U. 11. Corbalan J. C. 10. Dodo 4. El Hasni O. 9. Linden R. 25. Minala J. 6. Muscat N. (C) 5. Pepe E. 33. Simkus D.	45. Cardinali M. (G) 77. Druga B. 6. Jankovic F. 11. Kristensen B. (C) 24. Lacunza L. 18. Matos 7. Mbong J. 15. N'Zi O. 3. Romling M. 5. Shaw K. 8. Wahling J.
Substitutes
14. Attard E. 2. Bykov O. 30. Carabott Z. (G) 24. Caruana L. 23. Caruana T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 15. Galea N. 16. Karamitsios G. 26. Maniscalco M. 28. Mihana R. 3. Weder	31. Abela L. (G) 19. Abela L. 21. Agius 22. Bonnici D. 17. Chukunyere I. 23. Ellul M. 9. Mickels J. 28. Roe J. 1. Sanchez P. (G) 14. Xuereb D. 16. Zammit A.
Coaches
Potenza V.	Tanrivermis T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Linden R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Matos ↓, Mickels J. ↑,
63', Linden R. ↓, Mihana R. ↑,
71', Arias U. ↓, Bykov O. ↑,
71', Simkus D. ↓, Caruana L. ↑,
71', N'Zi O. 🟨,
79', Kristensen B. ↓, Roe J. ↑,
79', Jankovic F. ↓, Agius ↑,
79', Mbong J. ↓, Chukunyere I. ↑,
85', Lacunza L. 🟨,
86', N'Zi O. ↓, Bonnici D. ↑,
88', Dodo ↓, Weder ↑,
88', Pepe E. ↓, Caruana T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 3.

Marsaxlokk might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Marsaxlokk won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marsaxlokk won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Marsaxlokk	6	3	2	1	11:9	2	11
10	Hibernians	6	1	2	3	4:9	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsaxlokk FC
Maltese Premier League
14.08.26	Balzan - Marsaxlokk	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Marsaxlokk - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Pyunik - Marsaxlokk	1:0 ✺
09.07.26	Marsaxlokk - Pyunik	0:3 ✺
Maltese Premier League
16.05.26	Floriana - Marsaxlokk	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTLLL
- Paola Hibernians
Maltese Premier League
16.08.26	Sliema Wanderers - Paola Hibernians	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Paola Hibernians	3:0 ✺
24.04.26	Paola Hibernians - Mosta	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Paola Hibernians - Birkirkara	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Paola Hibernians	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
15.02.26	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	2:1
01.11.25	Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk	2:2
26.01.25	Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk	0:1
07.11.24	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	1:1
27.04.24	Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk	0:2
07.01.24	Marsaxlokk - Paola Hibernians	1:1
11.03.23	Paola Hibernians - Marsaxlokk	1:3

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