Match Info

League Two - Round 12

Date: 8 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Linping Sports Centre Stadium (Hangzhou)


	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue		Jiangxi Lushan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.50	2.85	2.05
	3.50	2.95	2.04	Watch
	4.31	2.97	2.06
	3.89	2.56	2.28	Watch
	4.25	2.60	2.03
	4.06	2.83	1.99	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3.25)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	2.09 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
23.7%

Draw
32.5%

Jiangxi Lushan
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

29.2%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

28.8%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Jiangxi Lushan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hangzhou Linping Wuyue than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiangxi Lushan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Jiangxi Lushan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Xu Zhenyao (G) 15. Jin Haoxiang 3. Yanjun Y. 32. Li Da 7. Gao Tianyu (C) 22. Ye Daoxin 20. Jin Minyu 56. Yao Xing 11. Yin Jie 31. Damlinjab 18. Abdusalam A.	12. Li Chen (G) 27. Zhang Yanjun (C) 5. Shi Jiwei 18. Yang Pengju 24. Li Yan 33. Guo Song 30. Huang J. 22. Li Jiahao 26. Pi Ziyang 7. Sun Yue 14. Zhou Jingxiang
Substitutes
14. Guannan Qian (G) 6. He Tongshuai 28. Li Shisen 47. Li Yadi 4. Peng Jiahao 23. Tang Kaiqi 8. Wang Linjie 33. Wu Yuhang 37. Xiang Yuheng 19. Ying Yuxiao 25. Zhang Chao'ao 30. Zhang J.	10. Abdusalam S. 11. Bai Zijian 8. Cao Enze 2. He Quan 19. Jiang H. 1. Liang J. (G) 28. Li Tianle (G) 6. Liu G. 35. Ren Y. 37. Wang Haisheng 3. Wang Hongbin 4. Zhang G.
Coaches
Xu Lei	Choi Jin-han

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Guo Song 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Yin Jie ⚽, Damlinjab (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Li Yan ↓, Bai Zijian ↑,
46', Huang J. ↓, Abdusalam S. ↑,
53', Yin Jie ↓, Ying Yuxiao ↑,
62', Pi Ziyang ↓, Jiang H. ↑,
62', Jin Minyu ↓, He Tongshuai ↑,
62', Damlinjab ↓, Wu Yuhang ↑,
63', Li Da ↓, Peng Jiahao ↑,
64', Yang Pengju 🟨,
68', Yao Xing 🟨,
70', Jin Haoxiang ↓, Tang Kaiqi ↑,
79', Guo Song ↓, Wang Haisheng ↑,
87', Zhou Jingxiang ↓, Zhang G. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Abdusalam S. ⚽, Jiang H. (A),
90+5', 2 - 1, Wu Yuhang ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone League Two (Relegation Group: )).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Jiangxi Lushan has had a series of home games.

Jiangxi Lushan might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hangzhou Linping won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Hangzhou Linping won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

Promotion Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Jiangxi Lushan	25	11	5	9	27:22	5	38
8	Hangzhou Linping	25	8	12	5	25:30	-5	36

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hangzhou Linping Wuyue
Chinese Yi League
05.07.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Wenzhou Professional	0:0 ✺
28.06.26	Wuhan Three Towns B - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0:1 ✺
24.06.26	Shenzhen - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Dalian Young Boy	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.06.26	Guangdong Mingtu - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TWLLT
- Jiangxi Lushan
Chinese Yi League
05.07.26	Guizhou Guiyang Athletic - Jiangxi Lushan	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Guangzhou Dandelion Alpha	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Ganzhou Ruishi	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2 ✺
Chinese Yi League
13.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Chengdu Rongcheng B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
22.03.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	2:2
07.06.25	Jiangxi Lushan - Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	1:2
30.03.25	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue - Jiangxi Lushan	1:1

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