Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 26

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Torvalla idrottsplats (Haninge)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Haninge		Hammarby TFF

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	4.45	1.52
	4.51	4.7	1.58
	2.27	3.52	2.85	Watch
	4.71	4.29	1.61	Watch
	4.1	4	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↓ (4.15)	4.19 ↑ (4.03)	1.85 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Haninge
24%

Draw
23.2%

Hammarby TFF
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.1%

22.7%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.7%

57.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Haninge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Hammarby TFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hammarby TFF than the current prediction. (+5%)

Haninge - Hammarby TFF Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alpek C. (G) 14. Bouvin M. 7. Dejene M. 11. Dibba P. (C) 8. Kass Kawo O. 13. Lundvall L. 5. Ndure S. 3. Nieminen Eriksson F. 15. Pelenda C. 17. Sundberg V. 19. Tesfay J.	40. Dzevlan A. (G) 9. Adindu O. 6. Axelsson W. (C) 21. Kebbeh S. 7. Laturnus B. 22. Lindberg W. 10. Marrah K. 17. Reutersward Corlin O. 14. Shima Y. 8. Simpson J. 11. Steinke Branby O.
Substitutes
4. Ben Lamin A. 9. Khalil M. 6. Malak I. 20. Staykov N. 2. Stregart K. 16. Tuhral A. 25. Zecchin T. (G)	20. Ablido N. 5. Eklund C. 71. Kallman L. 2. Lindahl J. 24. Loqvist W. 66. Moses S. 1. Ronnelow L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Dibba P. ⚽,
34', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
69', 1 - 1, Marrah K. ⚽,
74', 🟨,
78', 1 - 2, Lindberg W. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Superettan (Promotion: )).

Haninge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hammarby TFF's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Hammarby TFF is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Haninge won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Haninge won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Haninge
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.10.25	Karlstad - Haninge	7:1 ✺
28.09.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Haninge	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Haninge - Stocksund	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	Haninge - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Gefle - Haninge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL
- Hammarby TFF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.10.25	Hammarby TFF - Arlanda	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Hammarby TFF	3:1 ✺
22.09.25	Hammarby TFF - Sollentuna	4:0 ✺
13.09.25	United Nordic - Hammarby TFF	1:1 ✺
05.09.25	Enköping - Hammarby TFF	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
29.05.25	Hammarby TFF - Haninge	3:0
11.08.22	Haninge - Hammarby TFF	1:1
25.05.22	Hammarby TFF - Haninge	2:2
28.08.21	Haninge - Hammarby TFF	0:3
10.07.21	Hammarby TFF - Haninge	3:3

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