Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Tingvalla IP (Karlstad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Karlstad		Haninge

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.5	4.75	4.55
	1.58	5.32	4.45
	1.5	4.65	5.06	Watch
	1.51	4.7	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.4)	4.86 ↓ (5.08)	4.64 ↓ (5.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlstad
60.9%

Draw
19.1%

Haninge
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.8%

18.1%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

17.3%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karlstad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Haninge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlstad than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karlstad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Karlstad - Haninge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlstad (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Karlstad (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Karlstad (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Karlstad (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Karlstad (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karlsson M. (G) 21. Adewale I. 28. Bark A. 2. Beko S. 12. Bellander A. (C) 4. Bellman H. 9. Carstrom J. 18. Ericsson J. 14. Miftari A. 26. Owoyemi U. 6. Zurmati S.	1. Alpek C. (G) 14. Bouvin M. 11. Dibba P. (C) 9. Khalil M. 13. Lundvall L. 22. Miguel W. 5. Ndure S. 3. Nieminen Eriksson F. 15. Pelenda C. 2. Sundberg V. 16. Tuhral A.
Substitutes
10. Alvers O. 11. Bengtsson J. 8. Bjork N. 15. Faulds O. 17. Jatta N. 27. Josefsson C. (G) 29. Odhiambo F.	7. Dejene M. 6. Malak I. 21. Rajamohan A. 18. Staykov N. 20. Stregart K. 19. Tesfay J. 25. Zecchin T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Bark A. ⚽,
14', Sundberg V. 🟨,
22', 2 - 0, Adewale I. ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 1)
46', Miguel W. ↓, Malak I. ↑,
46', Lundvall L. ↓, Staykov N. ↑,
48', 3 - 0, Carstrom J. ⚽,
55', 4 - 0, Bellman H. ⚽,
60', Khalil M. ↓, Tesfay J. ↑,
63', Bellman H. 🟨,
67', Adewale I. ↓, Bengtsson J. ↑,
67', Bellman H. ↓, Alvers O. ↑,
69', Miftari A. 🟨,
74', 5 - 0, Alvers O. ⚽, Bengtsson J. (A),
77', Beko S. ↓, Jatta N. ↑,
77', Ericsson J. ↓, Odhiambo F. ↑,
77', Sundberg V. ↓, Dejene M. ↑,
77', Tuhral A. ↓, Rajamohan A. ↑,
82', Zurmati S. ↓, Bjork N. ↑,
85', 6 - 0, Bengtsson J. ⚽,
87', Malak I. 🟨,
87', 7 - 0, Bellander A. ⚽,
89', 7 - 1, Rajamohan A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 2.

Karlstad has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Haninge is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Karlstad may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Karlstad is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Karlstad won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Karlstad won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IF Karlstad
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.25	Karlstad - Enköping	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Gefle - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Karlstad - Karlberg	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlstad	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Karlstad	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WTWLL
- IFK Haninge
Swedish Division 1 Norra
28.09.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Haninge	3:0 ✺
19.09.25	Haninge - Stocksund	2:4 ✺
13.09.25	Haninge - Örebro Syrianska	3:1 ✺
06.09.25	Gefle - Haninge	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Karlberg - Haninge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.04.25	Haninge - Karlstad	2:1
08.10.22	Karlstad - Haninge	2:1
02.04.22	Haninge - Karlstad	0:0
11.09.21	Haninge - Karlstad	2:0
10.04.21	Karlstad - Haninge	5:1
11.10.20	Karlstad - Haninge	5:2
14.06.20	Haninge - Karlstad	1:1

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