Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 21

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Gavlevallen (Gävle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Gefle		Haninge

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.6	3
	2.05	3.7	2.98
	2	3.77	3.32
	1.35	5.10	7.31	Watch
	2.06	3.64	3.11	Watch
	2.41	3.65	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.42)	3.91 ↑ (3.68)	3.69 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gefle
49.1%

Draw
24.7%

Haninge
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

24.8%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

23.8%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gefle's performance.

Haninge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haninge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gefle that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haninge than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haninge could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gefle - Haninge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gefle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Gefle (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gefle (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Strindlund V. (G) 23. Andersson H. 5. Aras U. 13. Berggren M. 4. Hansemon T. 2. Kack O. 15. Nezirevic A. 16. Persson K. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 7. Simba P. 20. Sugita Y.	1. Zecchin T. (G) 4. Ben Lamin A. 14. Bouvin M. 7. Dejene M. 11. Dibba P. (C) 8. Kass Kawo O. 9. Khalil M. 13. Lundvall L. 5. Ndure S. 15. Pelenda C. 18. Staykov N.
Substitutes
24. Ekman P. 12. Jacinto C. 27. Johansson T. (G) 19. Lenerius L. 10. Mokede M. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.	23. Banse M. 22. Hadi N. 17. Lindgren A. 25. Pishovski A. 19. Tesfay J. 16. Tuhral A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Berggren M. ⚽,
22', Pelenda C. ↓, Tuhral A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Nezirevic A. ⚽,
56', Ben Lamin A. 🟨,
56', Simba P. 🟨,
68', Bouvin M. ↓, Tesfay J. ↑,
72', Simba P. ↓, Jacinto C. ↑,
72', Andersson H. ↓, Lenerius L. ↑,
78', Staykov N. 🟨,
83', Berggren M. ↓, Yaldir D. ↑,
90', Sugita Y. ↓, Mokede M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 3.

In recent matches, Gefle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Haninge has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gefle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gefle won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gefle won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Gefle - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 37.78%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
30.08.25	Gefle - Sollentuna	5:1 ✺
24.08.25	Arlanda - Gefle	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gefle - Enköping	5:1 ✺
10.08.25	Vasalund - Gefle	4:1 ✺
02.08.25	Gefle - Karlberg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLT
- IFK Haninge
Swedish Division 1 Norra
30.08.25	Karlberg - Haninge	3:1 ✺
24.08.25	Haninge - Stockholm Internazionale	0:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
20.08.25	Haninge - Elfsborg	0:1 ✺
Swedish Division 1 Norra
15.08.25	Arlanda - Haninge	5:4 ✺
09.08.25	Haninge - Sollentuna	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
24.05.25	Haninge - Gefle	1:1
10.09.22	Haninge - Gefle	0:2
23.06.22	Gefle - Haninge	3:2
02.10.21	Haninge - Gefle	1:2
15.05.21	Gefle - Haninge	1:1
07.10.20	Haninge - Gefle	1:4
27.06.20	Gefle - Haninge	1:2

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