Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 33

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Hankofen-Hailing		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.25	1.48
	5.14	4.39	1.52
	5.41	4.26	1.5
	5.5	4	1.44
	6.02	4.33	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.51 ↑ (5.49)	4.25 ↓ (4.25)	1.47 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hankofen-Hailing
16.5%

Draw
21.5%

Illertissen
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

21.5%

61.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2%

20.9%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hankofen-Hailing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hankofen-Hailing than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Hankofen Hailing - Illertissen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
3', 0 - 1, Stutz K. (Own goal),
10', 0 - 2, Milic D. ⚽,
13', 1 - 2, Wagner A. ⚽,
14', 1 - 3, Glessing Y. ⚽,
37', 1 - 4, Zeller M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
72', 1 - 5, Glessing Y. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Hankofen-Hailing is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Illertissen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hankofen-Hailing may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Illertissen is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hankofen-Hailing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hankofen-Hailing won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SpVgg Hankofen-Hailing
German Regionalliga Bayern
02.05.26	Aubstadt - Hankofen-Hailing	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Hankofen-Hailing - Vilzing	2:3 ✺
21.04.26	Unterhaching - Hankofen-Hailing	3:0 ✺
17.04.26	Hankofen-Hailing - Augsburg II	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Ansbach - Hankofen-Hailing	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWL
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
30.04.26	Illertissen - Bayern Munich II	4:0 ✺
25.04.26	Eichstätt - Illertissen	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Buchbach - Illertissen	0:3 ✺
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
02.11.25	Illertissen - Hankofen-Hailing	2:0
22.02.25	Illertissen - Hankofen-Hailing	3:1
10.08.24	Hankofen-Hailing - Illertissen	0:1
14.04.23	Illertissen - Hankofen-Hailing	4:1
24.09.22	Hankofen-Hailing - Illertissen	3:0

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