Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 30

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday


	Illertissen		Viktoria Aschaffenburg

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.95	7.9
	1.32	5.17	8
	1.32	4.92	7.84
	1.3	4.5	8.5
	1.26	5	9.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.3)	4.91 ↑ (4.88)	8.31 ↑ (8.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Illertissen
70.3%

Draw
18.7%

Viktoria Aschaffenburg
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

18.7%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.8%

17.3%

10.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for Viktoria Aschaffenburg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Illertissen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Aschaffenburg than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Kallo H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 0 - 2, Baier B. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 2.

Illertissen is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Aschaffenburg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Illertissen is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Illertissen will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Illertissen won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:22. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Illertissen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 2.1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
17.04.26	Buchbach - Illertissen	0:3 ✺
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Augsburg II - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ansbach - Illertissen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WTWWW
- Viktoria Aschaffenburg
German Regionalliga Bayern
17.04.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Aubstadt	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Augsburg II - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	0:1 ✺
06.04.26	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Unterhaching	0:3 ✺
01.04.26	Vilzing - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:2 ✺
20.03.26	Würzburger Kickers - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
11.10.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	1:1
09.05.25	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	1:0
22.10.24	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:0
03.05.24	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	0:0
14.10.23	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	2:1
05.11.22	Viktoria Aschaffenburg - Illertissen	3:0
15.07.22	Illertissen - Viktoria Aschaffenburg	1:2

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