Match Info

Regionalliga Bayern - Round 29

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Buchbach		Illertissen

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.65	1.85
	3.65	3.81	1.87
	3.48	3.85	1.85
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.51	3.58	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.61)	3.66 ↓ (3.69)	1.87 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Buchbach
26.1%

Draw
25%

Illertissen
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

24.6%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

24.1%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buchbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Buchbach's form might have worsened.

Illertissen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Illertissen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buchbach than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Buchbach, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illertissen than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Illertissen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Buchbach - Illertissen Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Illertissen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Hingerl M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 0 - 2, Gerstmayer D. ⚽,
74', 0 - 3, Gerstmayer D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 2.

In recent matches, Buchbach has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Illertissen is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Buchbach won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Buchbach won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Buchbach	12	8	3	1	25:11	14	27
6	Illertissen	11	5	3	3	20:15	5	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Buchbach
German Regionalliga Bayern
11.04.26	Aubstadt - Buchbach	4:1 ✺
06.04.26	Buchbach - Ansbach	3:1 ✺
02.04.26	Unterhaching - Buchbach	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Wacker Burghausen - Buchbach	0:0 ✺
13.03.26	Buchbach - Bayreuth	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 LWWTT
- FV Illertissen
German Regionalliga Bayern
10.04.26	Illertissen - Nürnberg II	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Illertissen - Aubstadt	1:0 ✺
02.04.26	Augsburg II - Illertissen	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Ansbach - Illertissen	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Illertissen - Wacker Burghausen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
04.10.25	Illertissen - Buchbach	4:1
30.11.24	Buchbach - Illertissen	3:0
16.08.24	Illertissen - Buchbach	2:0
11.05.24	Illertissen - Buchbach	1:2
17.10.23	Buchbach - Illertissen	2:3
26.11.22	Illertissen - Buchbach	0:0
02.08.22	Buchbach - Illertissen	1:1

Upcoming Matches