Match Info

3. Liga - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Erbst L. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	14:00	Oneplay
Germany	14:00	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, NDR Fernsehen
Switzerland	14:00	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	15:00	Sifir
Usa	08:00	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	12:00	OneFootball TV


	Hansa Rostock		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.15	3.60	3.00
	2.18	3.4	2.9	Watch
	2.28	3.74	3.04
	2.17	3.69	2.96	Watch
	2.15	3.65	2.95
	2.07	3.48	2.99	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)	3.56 ↓ (3.73)	2.96 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
42.8%

Draw
26%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
31.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.3%

24.9%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24.6%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Klewin P. (G) 17. Carstens F. 23. Pfanne F. (C) 16. Wallner L. 8. Karada O. 4. Fatkic K. 5. Schuster M. 32. Kolle N. 41. Michaelis Y. 9. Voglsammer A. 43. Dajaku L.	22. Lord L. (G) 2. van der Sloot S. 15. Oberdorf T. 4. Bornschein L. 7. Wekesser E. 25. Zimmermann M. 38. Arden E. 8. Hendrix J. (C) 9. Hottmann E. 6. Muller A. 34. Slimani A.
Substitutes
36. Bock F. 3. Bohnert F. 42. Dietze B. 15. Gurleyen A. 31. Jantunen J. (G) 29. Kiedl P. 27. Kopacz D. 35. Krauss M. 22. Reichardt L.	40. Anhari H. 5. Bouchama Y. 14. Consbruch J. 43. Egouli N. 23. Gerezgiher F. 1. Riess L. (G) 28. Risch S. 29. Sauck K. 24. Schleusener F.
Coaches
Breitenreiter A.	Langeneke J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', van der Sloot S. ↓, Gerezgiher F. ↑,
44', 1 - 0, Voglsammer A. ⚽, Carstens F. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Slimani A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Oberdorf T. 🟨,
63', Bornschein L. 🟨,
66', Michaelis Y. ↓, Dietze B. ↑,
70', Dietze B. 🟨,
71', Wallner L. 🟨,
72', Hottmann E. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
72', Wekesser E. ↓, Risch S. ↑,
75', Wallner L. ↓, Krauss M. ↑,
85', Voglsammer A. ↓, Kiedl P. ↑,
86', Dajaku L. ↓, Bock F. ↑,
89', Slimani A. ↓, Consbruch J. ↑,
90', Muller A. ↓, Bouchama Y. ↑,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hansa Rostock won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Hansa Rostock holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Hansa Rostock has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:21 (averaging 1:2.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hansa Rostock against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:13 goals (averaging 1.4:2.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hansa Rostock	11	4	4	3	18:20	-2	16
12	Dusseldorf	11	4	3	4	12:14	-2	15

Outrights of German 3 Bundesliga for now

Dusseldorf: 7.35% Hansa Rostock: 4.56%

Last Results with these Odds

Hansa Rostock - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.27%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 3 Bundesliga
17.10.26	Alemannia Aachen - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
13.10.26	Hansa Rostock - Meppen	0:2 ✺
10.10.26	Würzburger Kickers - Hansa Rostock	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Rot-Weiß Essen - Hansa Rostock	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Hansa Rostock - VfB Stuttgart II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWTW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 3 Bundesliga
17.10.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Saarbrücken	1:3 ✺
14.10.26	Preußen Münster - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
11.10.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Verl	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
15.09.26	Jahn Regensburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
25.02.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	2:0
16.09.23	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3
19.03.23	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:5
10.09.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	3:1
08.04.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	3:0
31.10.21	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
German DFB Pokal
20.08.16	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3

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