Match Info

GERMANY: 2. BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 6

Date: 16 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Ostseestadion (Rostock)

Referee: Winter N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Bundesliga, Sky Sport Top event
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Hansa Rostock		Fortuna Düsseldorf

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.3	2.25	Watch
				Watch
	3	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.31	3.35	2.34
	3	3.2	2.1	Watch
	3.15	3.48	2.21	Watch
	3.25	3.4	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (3.02)	3.36 ↓ (3.37)	2.24 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock
29.8%

Draw
28.1%

Fortuna Düsseldorf
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

27.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

27.7%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Fortuna Düsseldorf has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hansa Rostock than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	18.7%	43.7%

Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Fortuna will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 19.5% – 68.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kolke M. (G) 22. van der Werff J. 4. Rossbach D. 17. David J. 7. Neidhart N. 26. Bachmann J. 21. Rossipal A. 6. Dressel D. 14. Ingelsson S. 9. Proger K. 18. Perea J.	33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 25. Zimmermann M. 3. Hoffmann A. 30. de Wijs J. 19. Iyoha E. 11. Klaus F. 23. Appelkamp S. 6. Engelhardt Y. 8. Johannesson I. 7. Tzolis C. 9. Vermeij V.
Substitutes
10. Froling N. 11. Guler S. 16. Hinterseer L. 49. Junior Brumado 27. Kinsombi C. 23. Korber N. (G) 13. Schumacher K. 28. Singh S. 19. Vasiliadis S.	34. Gavory N. 10. Ginczek D. 27. Jastrzembski D. 1. Niemczycki K. (G) 18. Niemiec J. 15. Oberdorf T. 20. Siebert J. 4. Tanaka A. 2. Uchino T.
Coaches
Schwartz A.	Thioune D.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock won 1.

Recent matches Hansa Rostock is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fortuna is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hansa Rostock could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fortuna will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Hansa Rostock won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock
German 2 Bundesliga
03.09.23	Hamburger SV - Hansa Rostock	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Hansa Rostock - Osnabrück	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Hansa Rostock - Hannover	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.08.23	FSV Frankfurt - Hansa Rostock	1:2 penalties ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.08.23	Elversberg - Hansa Rostock	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWW
- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
01.09.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	3:1 ✺
26.08.23	Elversberg - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:5 ✺
19.08.23	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
13.08.23	Illertissen - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:3 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.08.23	St. Pauli - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.03.23	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:5
10.09.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	3:1
08.04.22	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hansa Rostock	3:0
31.10.21	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1
German DFB Pokal
20.08.16	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:3
German 2 Bundesliga
05.04.12	Hansa Rostock - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:1

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