Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORDOST - ROUND 15

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Hansa Rostock II		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.6	3
	2.06	3.9	3.17
	1.73	3.8	3.7
	1.98	3.82	3.2
	2.01	3.75	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.57)	3.77 ↑ (3.62)	3.22 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hansa Rostock II
47.2%

Draw
24.3%

Luckenwalde
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.6%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

25.2%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hansa Rostock II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hansa Rostock II's performance.

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luckenwalde might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hansa Rostock II than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hansa Rostock II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luckenwalde could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Hansa Rostock II - Luckenwalde Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Hansa Rostock II will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Luckenwalde will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Hansa Rostock II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Luckenwalde is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hansa Rostock II could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hansa Rostock II is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hansa Rostock II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hansa Rostock II
German Regionalliga Nordost
07.10.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Hansa Rostock II	5:1 ✺
01.10.23	Hansa Rostock II - Eilenburg	2:2 ✺
24.09.23	Meuselwitz - Hansa Rostock II	4:2 ✺
17.09.23	Hansa Rostock II - Altglienicke	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	Zwickau - Hansa Rostock II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLLL
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
08.10.23	Berliner FC Dynamo - Luckenwalde	4:0 ✺
29.09.23	Luckenwalde - Lokomotive Leipzig	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Babelsberg - Luckenwalde	1:2 ✺
15.09.23	Luckenwalde - Greifswald	1:5 ✺
02.09.23	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga NOFV-Nord
22.03.15	Luckenwalde - Hansa Rostock II	2:0

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