Match Info

Regionalliga Nordost - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Babelsberg		Luckenwalde

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.55	3.5
	1.87	3.67	3.9
	1.81	3.77	3.73
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.8	3.52	3.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.97)	3.56 ↑ (3.54)	3.73 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Babelsberg
49.7%

Draw
25.7%

Luckenwalde
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

25.8%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

24.1%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Luckenwalde has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luckenwalde than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Babelsberg - Luckenwalde Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, Neumann L. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Wegener P. ⚽,
34', 1 - 2, Maciejewski T. ⚽,
44', 1 - 3, Bachmann M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 3, Queisser L. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 13 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babelsberg won 1.

In recent matches, Babelsberg has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Luckenwalde has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Babelsberg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Babelsberg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:21. (average 2.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Babelsberg won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:11. (average 2.8:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Babelsberg	11	3	3	5	14:17	-3	12
18	Luckenwalde	11	1	0	10	9:28	-19	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
11.04.26	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg	4:2 ✺
08.04.26	Greifswald - Babelsberg	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Babelsberg - Hertha Zehlendorf	4:0 ✺
01.04.26	Babelsberg - Berliner FC Dynamo	2:2 ✺
27.03.26	Babelsberg - Chemie Leipzig	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LTWTW
- FSV 63 Luckenwalde
German Regionalliga Nordost
11.04.26	Luckenwalde - Eilenburg	1:1 ✺
07.04.26	Luckenwalde - Hallescher	1:4 ✺
04.04.26	Carl Zeiss Jena - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
28.03.26	Preussen - Luckenwalde	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Chemie Leipzig - Luckenwalde	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
24.10.25	Luckenwalde - Babelsberg	0:0
10.05.25	Babelsberg - Luckenwalde	1:2
23.11.24	Luckenwalde - Babelsberg	2:2
09.03.24	Luckenwalde - Babelsberg	1:2
22.09.23	Babelsberg - Luckenwalde	1:2
26.02.23	Luckenwalde - Babelsberg	3:1
09.09.22	Babelsberg - Luckenwalde	1:1

Upcoming Matches