Match Info

MYANMAR: NATIONAL LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hanthawaddy United		Kachin United

	1	X	2
	1.31	5	6.5
	1.3	4.26	5.86
	1.29	4.33	8
	1.32	5.05	7.7
	1.29	5	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)	4.73 ↑ (4.52)	7.21 ↑ (5.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanthawaddy United
68.7%

Draw
18.9%

Kachin United
12.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

63.4%

20%

16.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

15.3%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanthawaddy United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hanthawaddy United's performance.

Kachin United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanthawaddy United than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hanthawaddy United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kachin United than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kachin United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Hanthawaddy United - Kachin United Predictions

Users Predictions: Hanthawaddy United will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 5 and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Hanthawaddy United is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kachin United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kachin United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hanthawaddy United is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Hanthawaddy United won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanthawaddy United
Myanmar National League
24.07.23	Shan United - Hanthawaddy United	2:1 ✺
17.07.23	Hanthawaddy United - Myawady	2:0 ✺
03.07.23	Hanthawaddy United - ISPE	1:2 ✺
27.06.23	Yangon United - Hanthawaddy United	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Hanthawaddy United - Ayeyawady United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLW
- Kachin United
Myanmar National League
23.07.23	Mahar United - Kachin United	3:1 ✺
18.07.23	Kachin United - Yadanarbon	2:2 ✺
03.07.23	Kachin United - Dagon	0:1 ✺
27.06.23	Ayeyawady United - Kachin United	5:3 ✺
22.06.23	Rakhine United - Kachin United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
18.03.23	Kachin United - Hanthawaddy United	0:3

Hanthawaddy United - Kachin United