Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 15

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Hanwell Town		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.95	4.15
	1.74	4.05	3.8
	1.81	3.94	3.69	Watch
	1.68	4.16	4.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.81)	4.03 ↑ (3.94)	3.98 ↑ (3.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanwell Town
53.9%

Draw
22.9%

Tiverton Town
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

23.6%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

20.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanwell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hanwell Town than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hanwell Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tiverton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Woodcock C. ⚽,
89', 2 - 0, Duncan D. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hanwell Town won 2.

In recent matches, Hanwell Town has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tiverton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hanwell Town is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hanwell Town won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hanwell Town won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanwell Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Hanwell Town - Taunton Town	0:4 ✺
English FA Trophy
25.10.25	St Albans City - Hanwell Town	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Hanwell Town	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Evesham United - Hanwell Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWWLL
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
01.11.25	Walton & Hersham - Tiverton Town	6:0 ✺
25.10.25	Tiverton Town - Yate Town	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
11.10.25	Evesham United - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
07.10.25	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	1:1
09.11.24	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	1:2
23.03.24	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	2:0
25.11.23	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	1:2
01.02.23	Tiverton Town - Hanwell Town	2:3
27.08.22	Hanwell Town - Tiverton Town	1:0

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