Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Evesham United		Tiverton Town

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.65	3.35
	1.9	3.81	3.38
	1.84	3.65	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.7)	3.7 ↓ (3.77)	3.43 ↓ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evesham United
48.9%

Draw
24.6%

Tiverton Town
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

24.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

23.2%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evesham United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Tiverton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evesham United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Evesham United - Tiverton Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Evesham (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Steele L. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Wright A. ⚽,
38', 3 - 0, Owens W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 4 - 0, Steele L. ⚽,
72', 5 - 0, Churchley K. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In recent matches, Evesham has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tiverton is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tiverton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Evesham is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evesham United
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Evesham United - Ilkeston	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	AFC Telford United - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.09.25	Bracknell Town - Evesham United	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Wimborne Town - Evesham United	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Evesham United - Racing Club Warwick	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWTW
- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
07.10.25	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	4:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.25	Weymouth - Tiverton Town	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tiverton Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
09.09.25	Yate Town - Tiverton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL

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