Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 12

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Tiverton Town		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.82	3.45	2.15
	2.69	3.63	2.27
	2.62	3.53	2.43	Watch
	2.73	3.64	2.34
	2.66	3.4	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.62)	3.53 (3.53)	2.31 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town
34.1%

Draw
26.1%

Berkhamsted
39.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.5%

26.3%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

25.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Berkhamsted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Busari B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Tiverton has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Berkhamsted's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Berkhamsted may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiverton Town
English Southern League South Division
11.10.25	Evesham United - Tiverton Town	5:0 ✺
07.10.25	Tiverton Town - Poole Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Havant & Waterlooville - Tiverton Town	4:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.25	Weymouth - Tiverton Town	4:1 ✺
20.09.25	Tiverton Town - Uxbridge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLT
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
14.10.25	Berkhamsted - Evesham United	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Yate Town - Berkhamsted	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Cray Valley Paper Mills - Berkhamsted	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Berkhamsted - Walton & Hersham	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Berkhamsted - Plymouth Parkway	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTLLT

Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Tiverton Town - Berkhamsted Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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