Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 7

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday


	Hanworth Villa		Yate Town

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.50	3.90
	1.70	3.45	4.00
	1.78	3.54	4.06
	1.78	3.73	4.18	Watch
	1.75	3.50	4.00
	1.73	3.50	4.23
	1.73	3.60	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.68)	3.55 ↓ (3.64)	4.07 ↓ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hanworth Villa
52.1%

Draw
25.6%

Yate Town
22.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.7%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

23.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hanworth Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Yate Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hanworth Villa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yate Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Hanworth Villa - Yate Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
1', 0 - 1, Day M. ⚽,
27', 0 - 2, Jackson M. ⚽,
30', 1 - 2, McGregor G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 2 - 2, Barzey B. ⚽,
87', 2 - 3, Monks A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Hanworth is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yate has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Hanworth is the team to beat.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Hanworth	9	6	1	2	17:8	9	19
14	Yate Town	9	3	3	3	13:18	-5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hanworth Villa
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Chertsey Town	4:1 ✺
29.08.26	Wimborne Town - Hanworth Villa	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Hanworth Villa - Evesham United	4:1 ✺
15.08.26	Bath City - Hanworth Villa	1:0 ✺
12.08.26	Gosport Borough - Hanworth Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WTWLW
- Yate Town
English Southern League South Division
31.08.26	Yate Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Poole Town - Yate Town	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Yate Town - Bracknell Town	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Chertsey Town - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
11.08.26	Chippenham Town - Yate Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWTT

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