Match Info

ISRAEL: State Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 SPORT Israel


	Hapoel Acre		Beitar Jerusalem

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	11.39	5.9	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.39 ↑ (3.6)	5.9 ↑ (3.6)	1.22 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Acre
8.2%

Draw
15.7%

Beitar Jerusalem
76.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.9%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

25.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Acre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Acre's form might have worsened.

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beitar Jerusalem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Acre than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Acre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beitar Jerusalem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Acre - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Mizrahi L. O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Acre won 0.

Hapoel Acre is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Beitar Jerusalem is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Beitar Jerusalem could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beitar Jerusalem is absolute favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Hapoel Acre won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 10:23 (average 0.8:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Acre won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5:12 (average 0.8:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Acre
Israeli Liga Leumit
10.01.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:2 ✺
03.01.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Acre	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
27.12.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Acre	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
20.12.24	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	2:1 ✺
16.12.24	Hapoel Acre - Maccabi Jaffa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWWW
- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
11.01.25	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:4 ✺
06.01.25	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	1:3 ✺
01.01.25	Maccabi Netanya - Beitar Jerusalem	3:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Beitar Jerusalem	2:3 penalties ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.12.24	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Tiberias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
21.02.21	Hapoel Acre - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2
Israeli Ligat haAl
04.03.18	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Acre	3:0
02.12.17	Hapoel Acre - Beitar Jerusalem	1:3
21.02.16	Hapoel Acre - Beitar Jerusalem	1:3
22.11.15	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Acre	1:0
03.01.15	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Acre	4:0
27.09.14	Hapoel Acre - Beitar Jerusalem	1:1

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