Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 20

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday


	Hapoel Afula		Ironi Kiryat Shmona

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	4.33	1.41
	6.5	4.33	1.4	Watch
	5.8	4.25	1.4
	6.64	4.47	1.44
	6.77	4.35	1.39
	6.4	4.3	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.35 ↑ (5.23)	4.34 ↑ (3.83)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
14.3%

Draw
21%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

23.6%

59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

23.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Ironi Kiryat Shmona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ironi Kiryat Shmona's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Kiryat Shmona than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ironi Kiryat Shmona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Hapoel Afula - Ironi Kiryat Shmona Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ironi Kiryat Shmona will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

Hapoel Afula is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ironi Kiryat Shmona is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Afula could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ironi Kiryat Shmona is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hapoel Afula won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
02.02.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
26.01.24	Ihud Bnei Shfaram - Hapoel Afula	0:0 ✺
22.01.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
10.01.24	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Afula	7:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.01.24	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Jaffa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTLLL
- Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.02.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	3:0 ✺
19.01.24	Bnei Yehuda - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:0 ✺
15.01.24	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	3:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
09.01.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	0:4 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
05.01.24	Hapoel Acre - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
21.09.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Afula	4:0
Israeli State Cup
16.01.18	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Afula	3:0

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