Match Info

Leumit League - Round 21

Date: 30 January 2026, Friday


	Kafr Qasim		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.05	3.35
	2.11	3.16	3.57
	2.08	3.27	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.5
	2.12	3.1	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.03)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	3.44 ↓ (3.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kafr Qasim
44%

Draw
29.4%

Hapoel Afula
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.4%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

29.2%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Kafr Qasim (1.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kafr Qasim (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, Da Silva A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Sarsur A. ⚽,
55', 1 - 2, Ipole P. ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kafr Qasim won 2.

In recent matches, Kafr Qasim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hapoel Afula is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kafr Qasim could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kafr Qasim won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kafr Qasim won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.3:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Hapoel Afula	8	4	2	2	16:12	4	14
8	MS Kafr Qasim	8	4	1	3	12:8	4	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
23.01.26	Bnei Yehuda - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
15.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.01.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
02.01.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Acre	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWLW
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
23.01.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:1 ✺
19.01.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Afula	3:3 ✺
12.01.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:2 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
19.12.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
28.09.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	0:4
16.05.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	0:1
28.03.25	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	2:0
13.12.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	0:0
19.04.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	0:1
02.02.24	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Afula	1:1
18.09.23	Hapoel Afula - Kafr Qasim	1:1

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