Match Info

Leumit League - Round 10

Date: 16 October 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Afula		Maccabi Herzliya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.30	3.00
	2.05	3.30	2.95
	2.19	3.40	3.29
	2.17	3.43	3.15	Watch
	2.09	3.31	3.26
	2.07	3.24	3.16
	2.10	3.40	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.37)	3.34 ↑ (3.34)	3.12 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Afula
43.4%

Draw
27.3%

Maccabi Herzliya
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

27.1%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26.7%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Afula's performance.

Maccabi Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maccabi Herzliya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Herzliya than the current prediction. (+5%)

Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 13th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Afula won 1.

In recent outings, Hapoel Afula has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Maccabi Herzliya is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Afula has recorded 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:15 (averaging 1.2:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Afula against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:7 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hapoel Afula	10	5	3	2	18:13	5	18
13	M. Herzliya	10	2	3	5	9:13	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Maccabi Herzliya - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.10.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:2 ✺
24.09.26	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Afula	0:3 ✺
17.09.26	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	3:3 ✺
10.09.26	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Afula	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWTL
- Maccabi Herzliya
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.10.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Herzliya	1:0 ✺
24.09.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	1:3 ✺
17.09.26	Bnei Yehuda - Maccabi Herzliya	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Maccabi Herzliya - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya	1:0
25.08.25	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Afula	1:0
03.01.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya	2:3
02.09.24	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Afula	2:2
23.02.24	Maccabi Herzliya - Hapoel Afula	2:1
20.11.23	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya	0:1
29.12.17	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya	1:1

Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide