Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 10

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Azor		Shimshon Tel Aviv

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.2	2.78
	2.25	3.2	3.01
	2.23	3.21	3	Watch
	2.22	3.22	2.94
	2.2	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.58)	3.19 ↑ (3.1)	2.95 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Azor
40.6%

Draw
28.5%

Shimshon Tel Aviv
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.4%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

28.8%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Azor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Azor's performance.

Shimshon Tel Aviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Azor than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Azor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shimshon Tel Aviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimshon Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
67', 0 - 1, Khoury M. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Shimshon Tel Aviv may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Azor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Azor won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Shimshon Tel Aviv - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Azor
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Hapoel Azor	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Azor - Dimona	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Azor	1:2 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TTWLL
- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.11.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
07.11.25	Tzeirei Tira - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.10.25	Kfar Saba 1928 - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
03.03.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Azor	1:1
05.11.24	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:0
04.02.22	Hapoel Azor - Shimshon Tel Aviv	4:1
08.10.21	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Azor	0:2

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