Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 9

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Shimshon Tel Aviv		Jerusalem FC

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.52
	2.56	3.07	2.58
	2.58	3.57	2.35	Watch
	2.53	3.24	2.45
	2.57	3	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.54)	3.21 ↓ (3.54)	2.49 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimshon Tel Aviv
35.5%

Draw
28.2%

Jerusalem FC
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

25.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25.5%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimshon Tel Aviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Jerusalem FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shimshon Tel Aviv than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerusalem FC than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Shimshon Tel Aviv - Jerusalem FC Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Shimshon Tel Aviv (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Shimshon Tel Aviv (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimshon Tel Aviv (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Gad M. ⚽,
75', Reichert B. 🟥,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6).

Shimshon Tel Aviv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jerusalem is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Shimshon Tel Aviv won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Shimshon Tel Aviv - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 35.42%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimshon Tel Aviv
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.11.25	Tzeirei Tira - Shimshon Tel Aviv	0:2 ✺
31.10.25	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Shimshon Tel Aviv	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Kafr Qasim	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
16.10.25	Kfar Saba 1928 - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Maccabi Yavne	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTT
- Jerusalem FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.11.25	Jerusalem FC - Maccabi Kiryat Gat	0:2 ✺
03.11.25	Dimona - Jerusalem FC	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
30.10.25	Bnei Jaffa Ortodoxim - Jerusalem FC	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.10.25	Jerusalem FC - Nordia Jerusalem	4:2 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
08.04.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Jerusalem FC	1:0
13.12.24	Jerusalem FC - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1

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