Match Info

Ligat ha'Al - Relegation Group - Round 30

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Yud-Alef Stadium (Ashdod)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 3


	MS Ashdod		Hapoel Hadera

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.1
	1.62	3.7	5.2
	1.58	3.99	5.69
	1.59	3.86	5.61	Watch
	1.61	3.78	5.47	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	3.74 ↑ (3.37)	5.25 ↑ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MS Ashdod
57.2%

Draw
25%

Hapoel Hadera
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

27.7%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

26.9%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MS Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MS Ashdod's performance.

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with MS Ashdod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

MS Ashdod - Hapoel Hadera Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ashdod will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Hapoel Hadera will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ashdod: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ashdod (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Ashdod (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ashdod (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Niemczycki K. (G) 4. Awany T. D. 5. Bitton N. 16. Yashilirmak M. 11. Levy R. 18. Tamam I. 77. Coll I. 19. Levi A. 10. Kanaan M. 7. Azulay S. 13. Ansah E.	21. Levita O. (G) 15. Zalka M. 24. Mbodj M. 4. Eissat L. 28. Bashar A. 27. Lababidi D. 8. Azulay Shlomy Y. 3. Rokach L. 6. Osikmashvili L. 9. Shabo Y. 77. Cortes J.
Substitutes
30. Abergel R. 6. Atemengue M. 23. Azo O. N. 9. Harush S. 41. Hasson S. (G) 28. Mamatah E. 14. Muche N. 8. Nachmani S. 3. Rosen S.	22. Antman O. (G) 16. Avramov G. 19. Azaria D. 18. Einbinder D. 36. Eliyahu O. 12. Sangare I. 11. Schwartz R. 20. Senior O. 25. Yamaran A.
Coaches
Silvas H.	Nimni A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Cortes J. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Ansah E. ⚽, Coll I. (A),
16', 2 - 1, Kanaan M. (Pen),
32', Mbodj M. 🟨,
45+3', Shabo Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Azulay S. ↓, Atemengue M. ↑,
46', Rokach L. ↓, Einbinder D. ↑,
53', Shabo Y. ↓, Sangare I. ↑,
56', Bitton N. 🟨,
64', 3 - 1, Kanaan M. ⚽,
66', Osikmashvili L. 🟨,
70', Osikmashvili L. ↓, Azaria D. ↑,
72', Kanaan M. ↓, Azo O. N. ↑,
79', Tamam I. ↓, Muche N. ↑,
79', Ansah E. ↓, Mamatah E. ↑,
85', Zalka M. ↓, Avramov G. ↑,
85', Azulay Shlomy Y. ↓, Senior O. ↑,
88', Levi A. ↓, Rosen S. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Muche N. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ashdod won 1.

Ashdod is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Hadera is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ashdod is a favorite.

There will not play in Ashdod: Atemengue M. (Inactive) Harush A. (Shoulder Injury) Levy R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Hapoel Hadera: Adeniyi J. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Ashdod: Ben Zaken T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hapoel Hadera: Levy I. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Ashdod won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:28 (average 1.4:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Ashdod won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:14 (average 1.1:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
06.04.25	Ironi Tiberias - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - MS Ashdod	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Maccabi Haifa - MS Ashdod	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Netanya	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.6 WTTWT
- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Ligat haAl
07.04.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Hadera	4:1 ✺
15.03.25	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Maccabi Bnei Raina - Hapoel Hadera	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Tel Aviv	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
12.01.25	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Hadera	1:1
30.09.24	Hapoel Hadera - MS Ashdod	0:3
Israeli Toto Cup
06.08.24	Hapoel Hadera - MS Ashdod	2:0
Israeli Ligat haAl
21.04.24	Hapoel Hadera - MS Ashdod	2:2
20.01.24	Hapoel Hadera - MS Ashdod	1:1
30.09.23	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Hadera	0:1
21.01.23	Hapoel Hadera - MS Ashdod	0:2

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