Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Hapoel Beer Sheva		Motherwell

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.75	3.6	5
	1.9	3.45	4.25
	1.84	3.35	4.2
	1.92	3.35	4.39
	1.8	3.25	4.2
	1.88	3.52	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	3.43 ↓ (3.76)	4.34 ↓ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beer Sheva
50.9%

Draw
27.4%

Motherwell
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

24.8%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

14%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beer Sheva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Beer Sheva than the current prediction. (-20%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Beer Sheva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Motherwell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.2%	14.3%	24.5%

Hapoel Beer Sheva - Motherwell Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Hapoel Beer Sheva will win (votes: 30 - 61.2%). Motherwell will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hapoel Beer Sheva: 47.6% – 74.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

No spectators.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Motherwell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hapoel Beer Sheva is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Hapoel Beer Sheva to win the game is with odds 1.69.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beer Sheva
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Laçi - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.09.20	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	3:1 ✺
30.08.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Netanya	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Dinamo Batumi	3:0 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
22.08.20	Hapoel Beer Sheva - Maccabi Haifa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLWWW
- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
20.09.20	Aberdeen - Motherwell	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.20	Coleraine - Motherwell	2:3 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
12.09.20	Motherwell - St. Johnstone	1:0 ✺
30.08.20	Celtic - Motherwell	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Motherwell - Glentoran	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WWWLW

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