Match Info

Scottish Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Pittodrie Stadium (Aberdeen)


	Aberdeen		Motherwell

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.2	2.6
	2.7	3.1	2.35
	2.62	3.2	2.58
	2.59	3.4	2.67
	2.56	3.34	2.52	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.63
	2.67	3.34	2.72
	2.62	3.33	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.49)	3.25 ↓ (3.28)	2.58 ↓ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aberdeen
35.6%

Draw
28.5%

Motherwell
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

28.3%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aberdeen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Motherwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motherwell than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.3%	20%	66.7%

Aberdeen - Motherwell Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Aberdeen will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Motherwell will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Motherwell: 42.8% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Motherwell (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Bratveit P. (G) 2. Devlin N. 26. McIntyre T. 22. Milne J. 3. Frame M. 8. Geiger D. 4. Shinnie G. (C) 11. Milanovic N. 25. Cameron L. 81. Keskinen T. 15. Nisbet K.	31. Matty Connelly (G) 2. O'Donnell S. 4. Gordon L. 16. McGinn P. (C) 7. Sparrow T. 12. Fadinger L. 25. Priestman O. 15. Bjorgolfsson E. 21. Just E. 77. Charles-Cook R. 18. Maswanhise T.
Substitutes
32. Afeez A. 14. Bilalovic K. 27. Lazetic M. 38. Lobban D. 1. Mitov D. (G) 21. Molloy G. 6. Nilsen S. 20. Olusanya T. 18. Palaversa A.	45. Longelo E. 39. McAllister Z. 6. McGhee J. 19. Nicholson S. 28. Ross L. 90. Said I. 8. Slattery C. 13. Ward C. (G) 20. Watt E.
Coaches
Leven P.	Askou J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Priestman O. 🟥,
4', 1 - 0, Nisbet K. ⚽,
18', Milanovic N. 🟨,
23', Geiger D. 🟥,
40', Keskinen T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sparrow T. ↓, Slattery C. ↑,
46', Milanovic N. ↓, Olusanya T. ↑,
46', Keskinen T. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
48', Gordon L. 🟥,
61', Fadinger L. ↓, Longelo E. ↑,
61', Bjorgolfsson E. ↓, Watt E. ↑,
63', O'Donnell S. 🟨,
63', 2 - 0, Shinnie G. ⚽, Frame M. (A),
66', Slattery C. 🟨,
68', Just E. ↓, Said I. ↑,
72', Palaversa A. 🟨,
80', Nisbet K. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
81', Charles-Cook R. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
85', Cameron L. ↓, Nilsen S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 1.

In recent matches, Aberdeen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Motherwell is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aberdeen won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aberdeen won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.6:1.5).

Outrights of Scottish Cup for now

Aberdeen: 4.6% Motherwell: 3.03%

Last Results with these Odds

Aberdeen - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.23%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aberdeen FC
Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Kilmarnock - Aberdeen	3:0 ✺
24.01.26	Aberdeen - Livingston	6:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.26	Aberdeen - Raith Rovers	1:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
11.01.26	Aberdeen - Glasgow Rangers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWL
- Motherwell FC
Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:0 ✺
11.02.26	Motherwell - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Livingston - Motherwell	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Motherwell - Kilmarnock	4:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.26	Motherwell - Ross County	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
15.02.26	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:0
09.11.25	Aberdeen - Motherwell	1:1
27.09.25	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:0
Scottish League Cup
20.09.25	Aberdeen - Motherwell	0:1
Scottish Premier League
29.03.25	Aberdeen - Motherwell	4:1
05.01.25	Motherwell - Aberdeen	2:0
14.09.24	Aberdeen - Motherwell	2:1

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