Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 17

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Beit Shean		Hapoel Karmiel

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.35	2.52
	2.64	3.36	2.4	Watch
	2.57	3.22	2.42
	2.66	3.2	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.4)	3.28 ↑ (3)	2.43 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Beit Shean
35.2%

Draw
27.5%

Hapoel Karmiel
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

30.1%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Beit Shean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Hapoel Karmiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beit Shean than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Karmiel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Karmiel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Hapoel Beit Shean is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Hapoel Karmiel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Beit Shean won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Hapoel Karmiel	6	3	3	0	9:3	6	12
13	Beit Shean	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Beit Shean
Israeli Liga Alef North
16.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:3 ✺
20.12.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.3 WWTWT
- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
16.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:0 ✺
09.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Karmiel	3:3 ✺
06.01.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Ironi Nesher	4:0 ✺
02.01.26	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Karmiel	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Petah Tikva - Hapoel Karmiel	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
12.09.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:2

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