Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 21

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday


	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel		Hapoel Beit Shean

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.8	2.12
	2.61	3.99	2.12
	2.71	4.06	2.1
	2.66	3.84	2.15
	2.8	3.5	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (4.5)	3.84 ↑ (3.4)	2.13 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
33.7%

Draw
23.6%

Hapoel Beit Shean
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.9%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19%

25.2%

56.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel's performance.

Hapoel Beit Shean has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Beit Shean might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Beit Shean than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Beit Shean could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Hapoel Beit Shean Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Gabis A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

H Tirat HaCarmel is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hapoel Beit Shean is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Hapoel Beit Shean has had a series of away games.

In this match, Hapoel Beit Shean is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, H Tirat HaCarmel won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	3	1	0	2	5:5	0	3
14	Beit Shean	2	1	0	1	2:2	0	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel
Israeli Liga Alef North
13.02.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Tzeirey Tamra	0:2 ✺
30.01.26	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:2 ✺
16.01.26	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TLTLT
- Hapoel Beit Shean
Israeli Liga Alef North
12.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:3 ✺
06.02.26	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Hapoel Beit Shean	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Beit Shean	2:2 ✺
23.01.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Karmiel	0:1 ✺
16.01.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Beit Shean	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
17.10.25	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	0:3

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