Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 5

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm		Hapoel Karmiel

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.20	2.35
	2.70	3.10	2.32
	2.79	3.12	2.41
	2.68	3.14	2.49	Watch
	2.75	2.90	2.35
	2.74	3.70	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.03)	3.19 ↓ (3.56)	2.39 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
33.5%

Draw
28.4%

Hapoel Karmiel
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hapoel Karmiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Karmiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Hapoel Umm al Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Hapoel Karmiel is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 1:1 (averaging 0.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Umm al-Fahm against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hapoel Karmiel	8	3	5	0	13:7	6	14
9	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	7	2	3	2	9:10	-1	9

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.57%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.09.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	3:3 ✺
09.09.26	Tzeirey Tamra - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:2 ✺
26.02.26	Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTTL
- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
23.09.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad - Hapoel Karmiel	1:1 ✺
10.09.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	3:0 ✺
04.09.26	Hapoel Ihud Bnei Jatt - Hapoel Karmiel	1:3 ✺
27.02.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Bnei Araba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
05.02.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0
26.09.25	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel