Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 20

Date: 13 February 2026, Friday


	Tzeirei Tira		Nordia Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.55	4.95
	1.59	3.59	4.99
	1.59	3.82	4.92	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.34
	1.58	3.6	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.63)	3.63 ↓ (3.75)	5.04 ↑ (4.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tzeirei Tira
57.1%

Draw
24.9%

Nordia Jerusalem
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

23.4%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tzeirei Tira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tzeirei Tira than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Tzeirei Tira - Nordia Jerusalem Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Yahya S. H. ⚽,
9', 2 - 0, Guevara I. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Cohen L. ⚽,
40', 3 - 1, Lilos O. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
52', 3 - 2, Elmaliach L. ⚽,
81', 🟥,
82', 4 - 2, Salameh A. ⚽,
90+8', 5 - 2, Hayford A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Tzeirei Tira have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nordia Jerusalem's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tzeirei Tira is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tzeirei Tira won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tzeirei Tira won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Tzeirei Tira	5	0	0	5	1:10	-9	0
18	Nordia Jerusalem	5	0	0	5	2:13	-11	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tzeirei Tira FC
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.02.26	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Tzeirei Tira	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0 ✺
23.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Tzeirei Tira	2:1 ✺
16.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Beitar Yavne	0:1 ✺
09.01.26	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLLT
- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
06.02.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Kfar Saba 1928 - Nordia Jerusalem	2:1 ✺
23.01.26	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Nordia Jerusalem	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Maccabi Kiryat Gat - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
10.10.25	Nordia Jerusalem - Tzeirei Tira	0:2
07.03.25	Tzeirei Tira - Nordia Jerusalem	1:4
01.11.24	Tzeirei Tira - Nordia Jerusalem	0:3

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