Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef North - Round 12

Date: 27 December 2024, Friday


	Hapoel Bnei Musmus		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	1.25	5.25	8.75
	1.25	5.4	8.8
	1.39	4.22	6.59
	1.37	4.44	7.4	Watch
	1.34	4.6	7.37
	1.25	5.2	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	4.85 ↑ (4.4)	8.02 ↑ (6.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bnei Musmus
69.8%

Draw
18.8%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

20.7%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

14.1%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Bnei Musmus's performance.

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bnei Musmus than the current prediction. (-26%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Bnei Musmus that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maccabi Ahi Nazareth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Gabarin M. ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, Bigi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 3 - 0, Fahoum S. ⚽,
76', 3 - 1, Bakr A. ⚽,
78', 4 - 1, Kasem B. ⚽,
86', 4 - 2, Gaber H. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Hapoel Bnei Musmus is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maccabi Nazareth is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Hapoel Bnei Musmus is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Israeli Liga Alef North
24.12.24	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	0:0 ✺
20.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - MS Tira	1:3 ✺
14.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	2:1 ✺
10.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:1 ✺
29.11.24	Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Ihud Bnei Shfaram	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLLTW
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Alef North
24.12.24	MS Tira - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:0 ✺
20.12.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Ihud Bnei Shfaram - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0 ✺
10.12.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Bnei Araba	1:1 ✺
06.12.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLTT

Hapoel Bnei Musmus - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide