Match Info

Leumit League - Round 19

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Netanya Stadium (Netanya)


	Hapoel Hadera		Maccabi Jaffa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.15	2.58	Watch
	2.57	3.43	2.57	Watch
	2.47	3.16	2.55
	2.62	3.14	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.28)	3.22 ↓ (3.57)	2.55 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Hadera
36%

Draw
28.3%

Maccabi Jaffa
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

24.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Maccabi Jaffa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Hadera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Jaffa than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Hapoel Hadera - Maccabi Jaffa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Hazan R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
57', 1 - 1, Pilter N. ⚽,
57', 2 - 1, Bashar A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 2, Abuhatzira Y. ⚽,
86', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 13 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

Hapoel Hadera is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maccabi Jaffa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hapoel Hadera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hapoel Hadera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Maccabi Jaffa	8	2	0	6	7:17	-10	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
12.01.26	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
05.01.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Hadera	1:0 ✺
22.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
12.12.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Ramat Gan	0:1 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Hadera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL
- Maccabi Jaffa
Israeli State Cup
13.01.26	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Jaffa	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
09.01.26	Maccabi Jaffa - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
02.01.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Maccabi Jaffa	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
25.12.25	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Maccabi Jaffa	0:2 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
14.09.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Hadera	1:1

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