Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 10

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Herzliya		Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.68
	2.41	3.15	2.67
	2.4	3.36	2.64	Watch
	2.38	3.24	2.6
	2.4	3.14	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.12)	3.2 ↓ (3.55)	2.65 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Herzliya
37.7%

Draw
28.2%

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

25.6%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Herzliya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Herzliya's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Herzliya than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Herzliya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Biton E. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Reich O. ⚽,
15', 1 - 2, Malika R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Herzliya won 3.

Hapoel Herzliya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hapoel Herzliya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Herzliya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Herzliya won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Herzliya
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.12.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Holon Yermiyahu	0:4 ✺
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Beitar Yavne	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	2:4 ✺
10.10.25	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Azor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWWW
- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
28.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	5:0 ✺
07.11.25	Beitar Yavne - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	5:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.10.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
07.02.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Herzliya	2:2
09.10.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	2:1
26.02.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Herzliya	1:0
21.09.23	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0
30.03.23	Hapoel Herzliya - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:0
16.12.22	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1

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