Match Info

Liga Alef South - Round 9

Date: 28 November 2025, Friday


	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod		Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.25	2.42
	2.81	3.21	2.46
	2.16	3.42	2.97	Watch
	2.56	3.22	2.43
	2.8	3.14	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.14)	3.25 ↓ (3.45)	2.52 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
35.6%

Draw
28.1%

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.4%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

26%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maccabi Ironi Ashdod's form might have worsened.

Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maccabi Ironi Ashdod, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Melika R. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
56', 2 - 0, Ashram E. ⚽,
58', 3 - 0, Biton E. ⚽,
83', 4 - 0, ⚽,
86', 5 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef North).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Maccabi Ironi Ashdod won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ironi Ashdod
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.11.25	Beitar Yavne - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	3:2 ✺
01.11.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	5:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:3 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef South
17.10.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Jerusalem FC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWLWW
- Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi
Israeli Liga Alef South
07.11.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Herzliya	1:1 ✺
31.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Holon Yermiyahu	1:0 ✺
16.10.25	Beitar Yavne - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1 ✺
10.10.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Hapoel Azor - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
17.01.25	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1
17.09.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:0
16.02.24	Maccabi Ironi Ashdod - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	0:1
09.09.23	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	0:3

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