Match Info

Date: 4 December 2020, Friday


	Hapoel Jerusalem		Maccabi Ahi Nazareth

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	4.75
	1.6	3.4	5.25
	1.6	3.65	4.5
	1.7	3.3	4.5
	1.7	3.39	5.43
	1.67	3.58	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.73)	3.49 ↑ (3.4)	4.89 ↑ (4.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Jerusalem
55.2%

Draw
26.2%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.7%

20.7%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Jerusalem, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Leumit League (Promotion Group) and 7 in the zone Promotion to Leumit League (Promotion Group)).

Hapoel Jerusalem is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Maccabi Nazareth is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hapoel Jerusalem is a favorite.

Recent matches Maccabi Nazareth is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Jerusalem won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Jerusalem won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.12.20	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:5 ✺
27.11.20	Ironi Ramat HaSharon - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:0 ✺
23.11.20	Hapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:1 ✺
16.11.20	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:2 ✺
13.11.20	Hapoel Jerusalem - Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTTWW
- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.12.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Ironi Ramat HaSharon	2:0 ✺
27.11.20	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:0 ✺
23.11.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
16.11.20	Beitar Tel Aviv Ramla - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:1 ✺
13.11.20	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
03.02.17	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0
21.10.16	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Jerusalem	0:1
29.02.16	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Jerusalem	1:0
16.11.15	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:1
09.01.15	Hapoel Jerusalem - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:2

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