Match Info

Liga Alef North - Round 8

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Karmiel		Hapoel Nof HaGalil

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.40	2.50
	2.45	3.30	2.45
	2.66	3.53	2.30
	2.4	3.36	2.64	Watch
	2.55	3.45	2.20
	2.53	3.38	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (2.7)	3.4 ↑ (3.19)	2.4 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hapoel Karmiel
36.1%

Draw
26.4%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
37.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.2%

28.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

28.5%

38.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Karmiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Karmiel than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Nof HaGalil Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 3)
16', 1 - 0, Turgeman O. ⚽,
18', 2 - 0, Azobel B. ⚽,
33', 3 - 0, Mizrahi A. (Penalty Awarded),
38', 3 - 1, Ashmouz R. ⚽,
45+1', 3 - 2, Arazi I. (Own goal),
45+3', 3 - 3, Ashmouz R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs and 5th in the Promotion - Liga Alef - Promotion Play Offs).

Hapoel Karmiel has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Hapoel Nof HaGalil shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Hapoel Karmiel	8	3	5	0	13:7	6	14
6	Nof Hagalil	7	4	2	1	15:10	5	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Karmiel
Israeli Liga Alef North
19.10.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Karmiel	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.10.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Maccabi Ironi Kfar Yona	2:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
08.10.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Tirat HaCarmel	1:0 ✺
01.10.26	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Hapoel Karmiel	0:0 ✺
23.09.26	Hapoel Karmiel - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTT
- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Alef North
16.10.26	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.10.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	4:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
08.10.26	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:2 ✺
30.09.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Tzeirey Tamra	2:3 ✺
24.09.26	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWWLW

Hapoel Karmiel - Hapoel Nof HaGalil