Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 14

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Hapoel Kaukab		Hapoel Kafr Kanna

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.4	2.37
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.38	3.86	2.47
	2.5	3.35	2.45
	2.5	3.4	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (3.81)	3.48 ↑ (3.4)	2.44 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kaukab
36.8%

Draw
26%

Hapoel Kafr Kanna
37.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24%

26.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

25.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kaukab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kaukab's performance.

Hapoel Kafr Kanna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Kafr Kanna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kaukab than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Kaukab that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kafr Kanna than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kafr Kanna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hapoel Kaukab will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Hapoel Kafr Kanna will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

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Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Hapoel Kaukab is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Kafr Kanna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Kafr Kanna could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hapoel Kafr Kanna is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kaukab won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kaukab won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kaukab
Israeli Liga Alef North
03.02.24	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Hapoel Kaukab	0:3 ✺
24.01.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:1 ✺
19.01.24	MS Tira - Hapoel Kaukab	4:0 ✺
12.01.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:2 ✺
05.01.24	Tzeirey Um El Fahem - Hapoel Kaukab	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLLLL
- Hapoel Kafr Kanna
Israeli Liga Alef North
02.02.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Ironi Nesher	2:1 ✺
30.01.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:0 ✺
12.01.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	3:1 ✺
08.01.24	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
27.01.23	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	3:4
23.09.22	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Hapoel Kaukab	1:2
04.02.22	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	5:6
08.10.21	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Hapoel Kaukab	3:1
17.01.20	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	4:1

Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna