Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF NORTH - ROUND 17

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday


	Hapoel Kaukab		Ironi Nesher

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.1	2.2
	2.75	3.25	2.35	Watch
	2.86	3.1	2.09
	2.75	3.36	2.32
	2.93	3.02	2.36
	2.75	3.25	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (4.45)	3.18 ↓ (3.31)	2.28 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kaukab
32%

Draw
28.4%

Ironi Nesher
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

27.7%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

27.5%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kaukab has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kaukab's performance.

Ironi Nesher has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ironi Nesher might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kaukab than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Kaukab that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ironi Nesher than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ironi Nesher could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Hapoel Kaukab is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ironi Nesher is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ironi Nesher could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ironi Nesher will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kaukab won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kaukab won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kaukab
Israeli Liga Alef North
09.02.24	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kaukab	1:0 ✺
06.02.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Hapoel Kafr Kanna	0:1 ✺
03.02.24	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Hapoel Kaukab	0:3 ✺
24.01.24	Hapoel Kaukab - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	0:1 ✺
19.01.24	MS Tira - Hapoel Kaukab	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWLL
- Ironi Nesher
Israeli Liga Alef North
17.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:1 ✺
13.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	1:0 ✺
09.02.24	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad - Ironi Nesher	1:1 ✺
06.02.24	Ironi Nesher - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:2 ✺
02.02.24	Hapoel Kafr Kanna - Ironi Nesher	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef North
13.09.23	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Kaukab	2:0
31.03.23	Ironi Nesher - Hapoel Kaukab	3:2
16.12.22	Hapoel Kaukab - Ironi Nesher	1:0
31.12.21	Hapoel Kaukab - Ironi Nesher	0:0

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