Match Info

Date: 24 December 2020, Thursday


	Hapoel Kfar Saba		Beitar Jerusalem

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.6	1.7
	4.4	3.4	1.7
	4.3	3.4	1.74
	4.5	3.45	1.7
	4.84	3.77	1.77
	4.8	3.54	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.56 ↑ (3.51)	3.53 ↑ (3.28)	1.72 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kfar Saba
20.3%

Draw
26.2%

Beitar Jerusalem
53.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

27.9%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

18.9%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kfar Saba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hapoel Kfar Saba's form might have worsened.

Beitar Jerusalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beitar Jerusalem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (+18.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Kfar Saba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beitar Jerusalem than the current prediction. (-22.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beitar Jerusalem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	15.4%	61.5%

Hapoel Kfar Saba - Beitar Jerusalem Predictions

Users Predictions: 52 users predict this event. Hapoel Kfar Saba will win (votes: 12 - 23.1%). Beitar Jerusalem will win (votes: 32 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beitar Jerusalem: 48.3% – 74.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group) and 12 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Hapoel Kfar Saba could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Beitar Jerusalem have a series of home games.

In this match Beitar Jerusalem is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kfar Saba won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kfar Saba won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Ligat haAl
19.12.20	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
12.12.20	Hapoel Kfar Saba - MS Ashdod	0:1 ✺
06.12.20	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Hapoel Kfar Saba	3:0 ✺
24.11.20	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Haifa	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LLTLW
- Beitar Jerusalem
Israeli Ligat haAl
21.12.20	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Tel Aviv	0:0 ✺
17.12.20	Beitar Jerusalem - Ironi Kiryat Shmona	1:0 ✺
07.12.20	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Beer Sheva	1:2 ✺
30.11.20	Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Beitar Jerusalem - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
05.02.20	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Beitar Jerusalem	2:1
02.11.19	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0
Israeli State Cup
28.02.18	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0
06.02.18	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2
Israeli Ligat haAl
22.01.17	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Beitar Jerusalem	0:2
Israeli State Cup
07.01.17	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	3:0
Israeli Ligat haAl
01.10.16	Beitar Jerusalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:0

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