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Current Win Probability
Hapoel Kfar Saba 34.9%
Draw 26.3%
Hapoel Afula 38.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.1%
25.9%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.3%
26%
35.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hapoel Kfar Saba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Afula Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Boganim I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 14th in the Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Kfar Saba won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Hapoel Kfar Saba (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hapoel Afula is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Hapoel Kfar Saba has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 24:26 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hapoel Kfar Saba against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 14:14 goals (averaging 1.3:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Hapoel Afula
11
5
3
3
18:15
3
18
10
Hapoel Kfar Saba
11
4
0
7
17:24
-7
12
Last Results with these Odds
Hapoel Kfar Saba - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 38.09%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Hapoel Afula - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.02%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.