Match Info

ISRAEL: LEUMIT LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: HaMoshava Stadium (Petah Tikva)


	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth		Hapoel Kfar Saba

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.16	3.15	3.05
	2.27	2.97	3.25
	2.22	3.02	3.2
	2.17	3.15	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.56)	3.08 ↑ (3.05)	3.14 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
41.6%

Draw
29.5%

Hapoel Kfar Saba
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

29.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

31%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maccabi Ahi Nazareth's performance.

Hapoel Kfar Saba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Kfar Saba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Ahi Nazareth than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maccabi Ahi Nazareth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kfar Saba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	35.7%	28.6%

Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Maccabi Nazareth will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Hapoel Kfar Saba will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Maccabi Nazareth: 10.6% – 60.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nazareth won 3.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Maccabi Nazareth won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Maccabi Nazareth won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Israeli Liga Leumit
11.11.22	Maccabi Jaffa - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:2 ✺
04.11.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	3:0 ✺
21.10.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Afula	2:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
18.10.22	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Azor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.4 WWLWW
- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Liga Leumit
14.11.22	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0 ✺
04.11.22	Ironi Tiberias - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:1 ✺
28.10.22	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:3 ✺
24.10.22	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:2 ✺
Israeli State Cup
18.10.22	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Bnei Eilat	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
11.03.22	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	0:1
07.12.21	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1
25.03.19	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	2:3
07.12.18	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:1
19.02.18	Maccabi Ahi Nazareth - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:0
20.10.17	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	4:0
13.04.15	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Maccabi Ahi Nazareth	1:0

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