Match Info

Leumit League - Promotion Group - Round 32

Date: 30 April 2026, Thursday


	Hapoel Kfar Shalem		Hapoel Kfar Saba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.4	2.35
	1.82	3.65	3.45	Watch
	1.79	4.11	3.92
	1.73	4.33	3.81	Watch
	1.89	3.59	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.94 ↓ (2.72)	3.82 ↑ (3.56)	3.47 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
48.4%

Draw
24.6%

Hapoel Kfar Saba
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

26.1%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

25.4%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kfar Shalem's performance.

Hapoel Kfar Saba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Kfar Saba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (-15.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Kfar Shalem that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Kfar Saba than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Kfar Saba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Chane L. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Mamatah E. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Yiadom K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 2 - 2, Shavit I. ⚽,
80', 2 - 3, Buganim R. ⚽,
88', Hasson N. 🟥,
90+6', 2 - 4, Buganim R. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Kfar Shalem won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Hapoel Kfar Shalem	8	4	2	2	17:17	0	14
15	Hapoel Kfar Saba	8	2	0	6	9:20	-11	6

Last Results with these Odds

Hapoel Kfar Saba - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.82%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.04.26	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:3 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Jaffa	1:4 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Hadera	3:2 ✺
07.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Ramat Gan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLTWW
- Hapoel Kfar Saba
Israeli Liga Leumit
27.04.26	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:5 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Acre	3:2 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
24.03.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:3
24.10.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	1:3
Club Friendly
22.07.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1
Israeli Liga Leumit
11.04.25	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	1:0
24.02.25	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Kfar Saba	2:1
25.10.24	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	2:2

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