Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef North - Round 14

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday


	Hapoel Kiryat Yam		Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.5	6.8
	1.54	4.09	5.19
	1.34	4.6	7.27
	1.37	4.5	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.62)	4.42 ↑ (3.75)	6.52 ↑ (4.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Kiryat Yam
65.2%

Draw
20.7%

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.2%

19.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

26%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Kiryat Yam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hapoel Kiryat Yam's performance.

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Migdal HaEmek might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kiryat Yam than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Migdal HaEmek than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Hadad G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 1 - 1, Shelby M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Alef ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Hapoel Kiryat Yam is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Hapoel Kiryat Yam is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hapoel Kiryat Yam won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Kiryat Yam won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Kiryat Yam
Israeli Liga Alef North
07.01.25	Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	3:5 ✺
03.01.25	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Bnei Musmus	1:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Beitar Jerusalem	2:3 penalties ✺
Israeli Liga Alef North
24.12.24	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Bnei Zalafa	2:0 ✺
20.12.24	Hapoel Bueine - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WTLWW
- Hapoel Migdal HaEmek FC
Israeli Liga Alef North
03.01.25	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Ironi Baqa al-Gharbiyye	2:2 ✺
27.12.24	Hapoel Bnei Zalafa - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	2:6 ✺
20.12.24	Hapoel Beit Shean - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	1:3 ✺
10.12.24	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	0:2 ✺
06.12.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
08.11.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:2
Israeli Liga Alef North
07.03.24	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	0:1
08.12.23	Hapoel Kiryat Yam - Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	5:2

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