Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGA ALEF SOUTH - ROUND 14

Date: 6 February 2024, Tuesday


	Hapoel Marmorek		Hapoel Bikat Hayarden

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	2.9
	2.35	3	2.95	Watch
	2.33	3.03	3
	2.31	2.98	3.05
	2.35	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.33)	2.98 ↓ (3)	2.97 ↓ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Marmorek
39.1%

Draw
30.4%

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

31.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Hapoel Bikat Hayarden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Bikat Hayarden than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Marmorek won 3.

Hapoel Marmorek is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hapoel Bikat Hayarden is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Marmorek could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hapoel Marmorek will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hapoel Marmorek won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Marmorek won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
03.02.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
26.01.24	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Marmorek	0:0 ✺
19.01.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Herzliya	1:2 ✺
12.01.24	Shimshon Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Marmorek	1:0 ✺
05.01.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTLLL
- Hapoel Bikat Hayarden
Israeli Liga Alef South
02.02.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Agudat Sport Ashdod	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Hapoel Herzliya - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:1 ✺
19.01.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Shimshon Kafr Qasim	2:0 ✺
12.01.24	Maccabi Kiryat Malakhi - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:1 ✺
05.01.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Dimona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
03.03.23	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:2
30.10.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1
17.02.22	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Marmorek	0:4
Israeli State Cup
26.10.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	3:1
Israeli Liga Alef South
22.10.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	3:0
05.04.21	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bikat Hayarden	1:3
12.02.21	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Marmorek	1:3

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