Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 27

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday

Location: Lod Municipal Stadium (Lod)


	Hapoel Bnei Lod		Hapoel Marmorek

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.15
	3.55	3.15	2
	3.63	3.16	2.02	Watch
	3.61	3.16	1.98
	3.55	3.15	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.46 ↓ (3.55)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	2.03 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Bnei Lod
26.3%

Draw
28.8%

Hapoel Marmorek
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

28.2%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

25.4%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Bnei Lod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Hapoel Marmorek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Lod than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Marmorek than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Melika R. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Itzhaki G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 1 - 2, Itzhaki G. ⚽,
90+7', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Liga Alef South (Relegation) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hapoel Bnei Lod won 1.

Hapoel Bnei Lod has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hapoel Marmorek is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hapoel Marmorek will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hapoel Bnei Lod won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Hapoel Bnei Lod won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:10 (average 0.7:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Bnei Lod
Israeli Liga Alef South
27.02.25	Dimona - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Shimshon Tel Aviv	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Agudat Sport Ashdod - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Ironi Modiin	0:3 ✺
30.01.25	Maccabi Yavne - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLL
- Hapoel Marmorek
Israeli Liga Alef South
01.03.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Nordia Jerusalem	0:1 ✺
20.02.25	Tzeirei Tira - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1 ✺
13.02.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2 ✺
07.02.25	Hapoel Marmorek - Dimona	1:2 ✺
30.01.25	Shimshon Tel Aviv - Hapoel Marmorek	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
01.11.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:2
Israeli Liga Alef Relegation
09.05.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek	1:3
Israeli Liga Alef South
19.04.24	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:0
03.02.24	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek	0:2
11.03.22	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bnei Lod	3:0
25.11.21	Hapoel Bnei Lod - Hapoel Marmorek	1:2
Israeli Liga Leumit
29.04.19	Hapoel Marmorek - Hapoel Bnei Lod	1:2

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