Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 33

Date: 5 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Netanya Stadium (Netanya)


	Hapoel Hadera		Ironi Modiin

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.1	2.52
	2.64	3.23	2.66
	2.66	3.15	2.66	Watch
	2.49	3.18	2.52
	2.2	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.31)	3.16 ↓ (3.18)	2.62 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Hadera
36.4%

Draw
28.8%

Ironi Modiin
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.7%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

28%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Hadera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Ironi Modiin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Hadera than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Hapoel Hadera - Ironi Modiin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, Bella C. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Hapoel Hadera has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Hadera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Hapoel Hadera won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ironi Modiin	8	2	2	4	12:15	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Hadera
Israeli Liga Leumit
30.04.26	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Hadera	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Hadera	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Hapoel Ramat Gan - Hapoel Hadera	3:1 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Kfar Saba	0:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Hadera	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWLLL
- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.05.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
24.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Ironi Modiin	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
05.01.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Hadera	1:0
31.08.25	Hapoel Hadera - Ironi Modiin	2:3

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