Match Info

Leumit League - Relegation Group - Round 32

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday


	Ironi Modiin		Kafr Qasim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.38	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.9
	2.45	3.29	2.8	Watch
	2.51	3.25	2.75
	2.42	3	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↓ (2.48)	3.13 ↓ (3.19)	2.75 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ironi Modiin
37.5%

Draw
29.2%

Kafr Qasim
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

29.1%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

29%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ironi Modiin have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Kafr Qasim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ironi Modiin than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kafr Qasim than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Tomer Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 1, Ikenna C. ⚽,

Preview

Recent form of Ironi Modiin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kafr Qasim has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ironi Modiin won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Including home match between the teams, Ironi Modiin won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	MS Kafr Qasim	8	4	1	3	12:8	4	13
11	Ironi Modiin	8	2	2	4	12:15	-3	8

Last Results with these Odds

Ironi Modiin - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.46%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ironi Modiin
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
17.04.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Hapoel Ra`anana - Ironi Modiin	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Ramat Gan	2:3 ✺
06.04.26	Hapoel Afula - Ironi Modiin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TTLLT
- MS Kafr Qasim
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Hadera	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	0:0 ✺
14.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Ramat Gan	1:3 ✺
10.04.26	Hapoel Kfar Saba - Kafr Qasim	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Kafr Qasim - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
17.04.26	Ironi Modiin - Kafr Qasim	0:0
12.12.25	Kafr Qasim - Ironi Modiin	0:0

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