Match Info

Leumit League - Round 12

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Nof HaGalil		Maccabi Petah Tikva

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.1	4.75	1.29
	8.86	4.98	1.28
	6.33	4.66	1.42	Watch
	9.45	4.65	1.28
	12	5.5	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.95 ↑ (6.24)	4.91 ↑ (4.28)	1.29 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
10.3%

Draw
18.7%

Maccabi Petah Tikva
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

21.2%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

20.7%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Maccabi Petah Tikva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Petah Tikva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Petah Tikva than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Petah Tikva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', 1 - 0, Rayan A. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 0, Tadesa M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 3.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Maccabi Petah Tikva is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Maccabi Petah Tikva is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:17. (average 1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.3:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
31.10.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Acre	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Hapoel Hadera - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:0 ✺
12.10.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Kafr Qasim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTTT
- Maccabi Petah Tikva
Israeli Liga Leumit
03.11.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Ra`anana	1:0 ✺
Israeli State Cup
29.10.25	Dimona - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:3 ✺
20.10.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Bnei Yehuda	6:0 ✺
15.10.25	Ironi Modiin - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli State Cup
30.04.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:3
Israeli Liga Leumit
23.12.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:2
22.08.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:3
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.04.22	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:4
29.01.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:0
Israeli State Cup
18.12.21	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva	0:2
Israeli Ligat haAl
23.10.21	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	4:0

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