Match Info

Leumit League - Round 17

Date: 2 January 2026, Friday


	Hapoel Rishon LeZion		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.7	3.45	4.25
	1.76	3.75	4.25	Watch
	1.72	3.42	4.39
	1.8	3.4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.62)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	4.22 ↓ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Hapoel Rishon LeZion
52.3%

Draw
26.1%

Hapoel Afula
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

25.8%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

25%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Rishon LeZion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hapoel Afula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Rishon LeZion than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hapoel Rishon LeZion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rishon LeZion will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hapoel Afula will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 0 - 1, Elimelech E. ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, Edri S. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rishon LeZion won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Rishon LeZion is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rishon LeZion won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rishon LeZion won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:13. (average 1.5:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	H. Ironi Rishon	8	5	2	1	15:9	6	17
6	Hapoel Afula	8	4	2	2	16:12	4	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:1 ✺
12.12.25	Maccabi Petah Tikva - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:1 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Maccabi Jaffa	4:1 ✺
28.11.25	Hapoel Acre - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	1:1 ✺
10.11.25	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Hadera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLWTT
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
19.12.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Herzliya	1:0 ✺
15.12.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Kiryat Yam	2:0 ✺
05.12.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	1:1 ✺
28.11.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
01.09.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:3
04.02.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	0:1
06.10.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Afula	2:0
Club Friendly
25.07.24	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Afula	1:0
Israeli Liga Leumit
26.04.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	2:0
29.03.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Rishon LeZion	3:1
15.12.23	Hapoel Rishon LeZion - Hapoel Afula	1:0

Upcoming Matches