Match Info

Leumit League - Round 14

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Hapoel Nof HaGalil		Hapoel Afula

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.3	3.4
	2.02	3.25	3.72
	1.99	3.45	3.62	Watch
	1.94	3.4	3.87
	1.92	3.2	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.93)	3.32 ↓ (3.54)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hapoel Nof HaGalil
47.1%

Draw
27.8%

Hapoel Afula
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

26.2%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

22.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hapoel Nof HaGalil has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hapoel Afula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Nof HaGalil than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hapoel Nof HaGalil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Afula than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Afula could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hapoel Nof HaGalil will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, Hirsh S. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Mizrahi Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Leumit League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 2.

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Hapoel Nof HaGalil might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hapoel Nof HaGalil won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hapoel Nof HaGalil
Israeli Liga Leumit
01.12.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:1 ✺
07.11.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Maccabi Jaffa - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	1:0 ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Acre	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWLLT
- Hapoel Afula FC
Israeli Liga Leumit
28.11.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Ra`anana	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Ironi Modiin - Hapoel Afula	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Bnei Yehuda - Hapoel Afula	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
28.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik	2:3 ET ✺
Israeli Liga Leumit
24.10.25	Hapoel Afula - Maccabi Petah Tikva	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Leumit
02.05.25	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	2:1
28.02.25	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	0:0
29.10.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	1:1
12.04.24	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	2:1
01.01.24	Hapoel Afula - Hapoel Nof HaGalil	2:2
12.05.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	3:0
10.02.23	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Hapoel Afula	2:1

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